Gravis Marketing Ohio Post Convention Poll

Gravis Marketing and Capitol Correspondent conducted a survey of 1,381 registered voters on the afternoon and evening of September 2, 2012 in the state of Ohio. The survey covered the same questions as the one from the week prior, dealing with preference for the presidential candidates, Senate candidates Josh Mandel and Sherrod Brown, Governor Kasich’s job performance, whether America is headed in the right direction, which presidential candidate is more charitable, and opinions about the appropriateness of homosexual marriage.  Overall, with a margin of error of 2.9%, Obama’s previous lead over Romney of 45.3% to 44.4% has switched to a Romney lead of 46.8%to 43.7%. Although within the previous polls margin of error, the Republican convention appears to have given Romney a 2 point bump while taking 1 point from Obama. Switching to the Senate race, before the Republican convention, Democrat Sherrod Brown held a narrow 43.6% to 41.4% lead over Republican Josh Mandel.Again, although within the margin of error, the post-convention poll gives Republican Mandel the advantage at 44.3% to 43.5%, representing a 3 point bump for Mandel, while Brown’s take staying basically constant. Both polls continue to indicate that the undecided voters will determine the outcome of the elections.

These results for Obama in Ohio by age are not surprising given his 61% pull in exit polls in the younger age group in 2008. The only Ohio age group that Obama lost, in fact, during these exit polls, was the 65+ group. Obama also received majority support from both males and females in the state in the last presidential election.

Ohio (Sep 2, 2012) Romney-Obama, Mandel-Brown

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