Gravis Marketing Colorado Presidential Poll Shows Obama and Romney....

Colorado Results

For 10/5/2012 – 10/11/2012

Executive Summary

Following the debates, Gravis Marketing, a non-partisan research firm conducted a survey of 2,089 likely voters in Colorado on October 5^th– October 11^th regarding their likely vote for a given presidential candidate.  The poll carries a margin of error of 2.2%.   

The recent results give Obama a 48.4% to 46.0% lead, with 5.6% of likely voters still undecided or voting for another candidate.  The 2.4% Obama lead is a 2.1% decline from where it stood in September.  Gravis Marketing conducted a previous poll this month right after the first debate, which gave Romney a 49.4% to 45.9% advantage.  The difference between the most recent poll and the poll immediately following the debate (total time frame for that poll was 30 minutes after completion of the debate) is thought to be due to the initial debate reaction.  The most recent results indicate the debate bump, although still there, is moderating somewhat. 

A full reporting of the results and cross tabulations follows.    September Poll October Post Debate Poll

Summary Results
Party	Percent of total
Other	39.9%
Republican	31.8%
Democrat	28.2%
Race
White	80.1%
Hispanic	10.0%
Other	9.9%
Religious affiliation
Protestant	42.5%
Not affiliated	31.2%
Catholic	20.3%
Jewish	3.9%
Muslim	2.1%
Age
18-29	17.0%
30-49	39.9%
50-64	29.1%
65+	14.0%
Sex
Men	49.5%
Women	50.5%
President
Obama	48.4%
Romney	46.0%
Other	5.6%
Approve of Obama?
Disapprove	48.6%
Approve	42.1%
Other	9.3%
U.S. right direction?
Wrong	51.4%
Right	38.3%
Other	10.3%

Survey Questions

1.  Are you registered to vote?  (Yes, No)

2.  How likely are you to vote in this year’s presidential elections? (Very unlikely, Unlikely, Somewhat unlikely, Somewhat likely, Likely, Very likely)

3. In which party are you either registered to vote or do you consider yourself a member of? (Democrat, Republican, independent or minority party)

4. What race do you identify yourself as? (White/Caucasian, African-American, Hispanic, Asian, Other)

5. Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation? (Roman Catholic, Protestant/other non-denominational Christian, Jewish, Muslim, Other/no affiliation)

6. How old are you? (18-29, 30-49, 50-64, Over 65)

7. What is your Gender? (Male, Female)

8. If the presidential election were held today, whom would you vote for? (Very likely Obama, Likely Obama, Somewhat likely Obama, Undecided, Somewhat likely Romney, Likely Romney, Very likely Romney)

9.  Do you approve of President Obama’s job performance?

10.  Do you think the United States is headed in the right direction?

Note: the statistical methodology comprised weighing various groups for anticipated voting proportions for the 2012 General Election.