Friday, October 26, 2012

Iowa Public Opinion Poll Shows Obama and Romney....


www.gravispolls.com

Iowa Public Opinion Poll

Results from Iowa Likely Voter Survey


Methodology

Gravis Marketing conducted an automated survey of 517 likely voters in Iowa October 24, 2012. The margin of error for the survey is +/-4.3% and higher for subgroups.  

Results shown by gender and party represent those respondents within those subgroups. All numbers shown in the tables represent percentages rounded to the nearest whole percentage.

The questions were asked in the order of the question numbers which appear in this report.  Results only include respondents who answered that they were registered voters, somewhat likely, likely, or very likely to vote. The statistical methodology comprised weighing various groups for anticipated voting proportions, by using census data and voter turnout models from previous elections.

The poll was conducted on behalf of Gravis Marketing, Inc., Gravis Marketing is a non-partisan marketing and research firm located in Winter Springs, Florida. Contact Doug Kaplan (407) 242-1870 doug@gravismarketing.com

Key Findings

·         President Obama currently leads Governor Romney by 4 percentage points in Iowa, 50 to 46 percent.

·         Governor Romney leads President Obama with independent voters by a margin of 48 to 36 percent.  Both candidates received more than 90 percent support from members of their own party.

·         There is a wide gender gap in this survey. Romney leads by 18 percent among men while President Obama leads by 23 percent with women.

·         Iowans are divided nearly equally on whether they approve of President Obama’s job performance.  47 percent approve of his performance while 46 percent do not approve of President Obama’s job performance.

·         Iowans are more likely to think the country is headed in the wrong direction than the right direction by a 4 percentage point margin, 47 percent to 43 percent.



                                                                                                                                        


Question 8: If the election for President of the United States were held today who would you vote for?
Iowa
Voters
Gender
Party
Men

Women
Democrat
Republican
Independent
Barack Obama
50
39
59
94
9
36
Mitt Romney
46
57
36
6
92
48
Undecided
4
4
5
1
1
16


Question 9: Do you approve of President Obama’s job performance?
Iowa
Voters
Gender
Party
Men
Women
Democrat
Republican
Independent
Yes
47
40
53
90
6
34
No
46
55
37
6
89
51
Undecided
7
5
9
4
5
15

Question 10: Do you think the United States of America is headed in the right direction or wrong direction?
Iowa
Voters
Gender
Party
Men
Women
Democrat
Republican
Independent
Right Direction
43
37
49
81
7
31
Wrong Direction
47
59
37
6
88
58
Undecided
9
4
14
12
4
11
                                                                                                                                                        







Screeners & Demographics

Question 1:  Are you registered to vote?
            Iowa Voters
Yes
100
No
0

Question 2:  How likely are you to vote in this year’s presidential elections?
            Iowa Voters
Very unlikely
0
Unlikely
0
Somewhat unlikely
0
Somewhat likely
3
Likely
2
Very likely
95
                                                        
Question 3: What is your political party affiliation?         [FIRST TWO CHOICES ROTATED]
            Iowa Voters
Democrat
41
Republican
35
Independent or in another party
24

Question 4:  What race do you identify yourself as?
Iowa Voters
White/Caucasian
90
African-American
3
Hispanic
3
Asian
1
Other
3

Question 5: Which of the following best represents your religious affiliation?
Iowa Voters
Catholic
30
Protestant/Other Christian
54
Jewish
1
Muslim
1
Other
14

Question 6:  What is your age?
Iowa Voters
18-29
17
30-49
31
50-64
34
65+
18

Question 7: What is your gender?
Iowa Voters
Male
47
Female
53